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Macro Thoughts

Analysis, Ideas and Reflections on Macroeconomic Topics

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Swiss Central Bank Just Sent a Warning to the World

Few were expecting anything more than a few franc sales from the Swiss National Bank today. Instead, the SNB boldly cut its ST rate specifically because it knows what's coming from around the rest of the world. And that doesn't mean inflation in Switzerland or anywhere else.

Jeffrey Snider
Eurodollar University, 21 March 2024

Was läuft derzeit schief bei der Energiewende?

Beim Thema Energiewende verfolgt Deutschland einen festen Plan: Abkehr von fossilen Brennstoffen und Verzicht auf Atomenergie – gleichzeitig massiver Aufbau der Elektromobilität. An den globalen Rohstoffmärkten wird diese Vision derzeit aber nicht geteilt.

FERI Cognitive Finance Institute, 15.03.2024

US CPI and the Rate Cut Debate

Stocks already showed they don’t need rate cuts.

Fisher Investments Editorial Staff
Fisher Investments, March 12, 2024

''What I am essentially describing is military rule.''

Excerpt/Quote

Tucker Carlson, Mike Benz
Tucker Carlson Uncensored, Tucker Carlson Network, February 16, 2024

Defending the Austrian Interpretation of the 1920–21 Depression: Reply to Borazan

Patrick Newman argues that the 1919-1920 business cycle was due to monetary expansion, and that Borazan's (2023) "administrative decree" about resuming expansionary policy is inapplicable. Wage cuts aided recovery.

Patrick Newman
The Quarterly Journal of Austrian Economics, Vol. 26, Issue 4, 2023. Notes and Replies, February 08, 2024

Ursachen der Volatilität des Frankens gegenüber Euro und Dollar seit 2017

Prof. Peter Kugler
Universität Basel, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät, WWZ Faculty Blog, 28 February 2024

''Main Invisible Contre Pied dans le Derriere''

"Travaux Pratiques: Ce qu'il faut avoir ou ne pas avoir dans les Marches des Actions en Euroland"

Charles Gave
Institut Des Libertés, 22 January 2024

Deposit Convexity, Monetary Policy, and Financial Stability

Working Paper

Emily Greenwald, Sam Schulhofer-Wohl, Joshua Younger
Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, Research Department, Working Paper 2315, October 2023

The Great Crash of 1762

There are years that are remembered by all investors when bull markets hit tops or bear markets hit bottoms. Some of the years associated with global market tops are 1720, 1929, 1987 and 2007. Similarly, there are years when global markets hit bottoms in 1848, 1932, 1974, 2009 and 2020. But some market bottoms have been forgotten.

Dr. Bryan Taylor, Chief Economist
Global Financial Data, December 13, 2023

Diversification

China gains export share outside the U.S.

Wenli Zheng
T. Rowe Price,  December 2023
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