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Macro Thoughts

Analysis, Ideas and Reflections on Macroeconomic Topics

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US CPI and the Rate Cut Debate

Stocks already showed they don’t need rate cuts.

Fisher Investments Editorial Staff
Fisher Investments, March 12, 2024

Defending the Austrian Interpretation of the 1920–21 Depression: Reply to Borazan

Patrick Newman argues that the 1919-1920 business cycle was due to monetary expansion, and that Borazan's (2023) "administrative decree" about resuming expansionary policy is inapplicable. Wage cuts aided recovery.

Patrick Newman
The Quarterly Journal of Austrian Economics, Vol. 26, Issue 4, 2023. Notes and Replies, February 08, 2024

''Main Invisible Contre Pied dans le Derriere''

"Travaux Pratiques: Ce qu'il faut avoir ou ne pas avoir dans les Marches des Actions en Euroland"

Charles Gave
Institut Des Libertés, 22 January 2024

Deposit Convexity, Monetary Policy, and Financial Stability

Working Paper

Emily Greenwald, Sam Schulhofer-Wohl, Joshua Younger
Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, Research Department, Working Paper 2315, October 2023

The Great Crash of 1762

There are years that are remembered by all investors when bull markets hit tops or bear markets hit bottoms. Some of the years associated with global market tops are 1720, 1929, 1987 and 2007. Similarly, there are years when global markets hit bottoms in 1848, 1932, 1974, 2009 and 2020. But some market bottoms have been forgotten.

Dr. Bryan Taylor, Chief Economist
Global Financial Data, December 13, 2023

Diversification

China gains export share outside the U.S.

Wenli Zheng
T. Rowe Price,  December 2023

Friedrich Hayek: A Biography

In the first full biography of Friedrich Hayek (1899-1992), Alan Ebenstein chronicles the life, works, and legacy of the visionary thinker, from his early years in fin-de-siècle Vienna to his remarkable career as a Nobel Prize winning economist, political philosopher, and leading public intellectual.

Dr. Alan Ebenstein
University of Chicago Press, April 15, 2003

Three Monkeys Media, Trump and the markets

Media Commentators are currently behaving like the three wise monkeys with regards to Donald Trump; they don't want to hear what he is saying, watch his rallies or talk about his likely policies. But the markets are starting to pay attention, especially the energy markets.

Mark Tinker
Market Thinking, December 8, 2023

Whither Goeth the Entrepreneur?

Robert F. Hébert's Ludwig von Mises Memorial Lecture given at the 2023 Austrian Economics Scholars Conference discusses the path of entrepreneurship research over the last forty years.

Robert F. Hébert
The Quarterly Journal of Austrian Economics, Vol. 26, Issue 3, Fall 2023. November 20, 2023

As the Government and the Bureaucracy expand excessively, they become the Enemy of the People

Dr. Marc Faber
Gloom, Boom & Doom Report, Monthly Market Commentary, November 1, 2023
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