The traditional leading indicators are saying different things
Fears over “secular stagnation” appear to be overdone.
The “reflation trade” appears real, but risks are still elevated.
On the subject of economic policy, some opinion makers in Germany peddle myths, i.e. imaginary tales without a factual basis aimed at pleasing the crowd.
Why central bank stimulus may muddy the waters.
The US is currently experiencing an exceptional period from a microeconomic point of view.
Declining credibility and the rise of populism pose significant challenges.