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Capital Markets Lab

Exploring Market Characteristics, Participants, Behavioural Biases, Correlations and Causations, Predictions, Gloom and Doom, Tipping points, Misperceptions, Noise, Risk and Returns, Uncertainty, Volatility, Cycles, Assumptions and more...

Articles: 1-10 / 325
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A regime change for Japan?

Japan has been in deflation for years, but a regime change in inflation finally may be emerging. We consider the implications for monetary policy, government bonds, and the yen.

Carol Lye
Brandywine Global, 8 August 2023

Peeling back the onion: A concentric approach to investment decision making

Portfolio Managers Greg Wilensky and Jeremiah Buckley offer a framework for interpreting economic news for investment decision making.

Greg Wilensky, Head of U.S. Fixed Income, Portfolio Manager; Jeremiah Buckley, Portfolio Manager
Janus Henderson Investors, 19 July 2023

The Rise and Fall of the German Stock Market

"It is interesting to compare the performance of the German and Austrian stock markets between 1845 and 1914. Between 1845 and the 1880s, the two markets behaved similarly, in part because corporations in Austria listed on German exchanges and vice versa. The first stock to list on the Frankfurt exchange was the Austrian National Bank."

Dr. Bryan Taylor, Chief Economist
Global Financial Data, July 17, 2023

Milton Friedman on the fallacy of interest rates and monetary policy

Excerpt / Quote

Milton Friedman
Hoover Institution, Hoover Digest: Reviving Japan, April 30, 1998

Who holds sovereign debt and why it matters

BIS Working Papers No 1099

Monetary and Economic Department

Xiang Fang, Bryan Hardy, Karen K. Lewis
BIS, May 2023

Ditch the Angst. The BoE Chief Economist’s Inflation Comments Were an Off-Target Bore

Context is always a friend.

Elisabeth Dellinger
Fisher Investments, 27 April 2023

Investment Review April 2023

Many impossible things are happening in the investment world at the moment; like the bluebottle which sits upside-down on the ceiling, we have to come to realise these things were not so impossible, after all.

Jonathan Ruffer, Chairman
Ruffer, Investment Review, 3 April 2023

Hanke's Currency Watchlist

Prof. Steve H. Hanke
Johns Hopkins University, Whiting School of Engineering, 24 March 2023

''... the only thing the Fed hates more than inflation is a banking crisis.''

Quote

Fisher Investments Editorial Staff, As Winter Wanes, Prices Continue to Cool, Inflation is easing even more than headline data suggest.
Fisher Investments, March 14, 2023

US Equity Performance vs. the Rest of the World

10 Years Ended 31 December 2022

T. Rowe Price,  February 2023
Articles: 1-10 / 325
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