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Capital Markets Lab

Exploring Market Characteristics, Participants, Behavioural Biases, Correlations and Causations, Predictions, Gloom and Doom, Tipping points, Misperceptions, Noise, Risk and Returns, Uncertainty, Volatility, Cycles, Assumptions and more...

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Liminal Spaces in Financial Markets

Liminal spaces are understood as physical locations that are transitional in nature, somewhere between origin and destination. Their aesthetics is associated with feelings of eeriness, apprehension, and nostalgia. Now, what would be its equivalent in financial markets?

Investment Office, January 2023

Long-term Returns to Dutch and Indonesian stocks

The Netherlands has more stock market history than any other country. Trading in shares of the East India Company began trading in Amsterdam in 1601 and continued to trade until the company went bankrupt in 1794.

Dr. Brian Taylor, Chief Economist
Global Financial Data, December 21, 2022

Market chaos as major players call the biggest bluff.

The FOMC met today and hiked rates. More than that, they set course for more to come and policymakers holding those up for a longer period. And the markets completely, totally, utterly rejected the "almighty" Fed. This is why.

Jeffrey Snider
Eurodollar University, 15 December 2022

''Clarity in the stock market is always expensive to buy!''

Quote

Ken Fisher, Founder and Executive Chairman of Fisher Investments
Fisher Investments, Ken Fisher Debunks: “Don’t Buy In Until There is Clarity That You’re in a Bull Market”, 9 December 2022

Ken Fisher Debunks:

“Don’t Buy In Until There is Clarity That You’re in a Bull Market”,

Ken Fisher, Founder and Executive Chairman of Fisher Investments
Fisher Investments, 9 December 2022

“The markets lead the policymakers in the direction the markets believe are the greatest risks, because those risks become reality!”

Quote

Jeff Snider
Eurodollar University, "There is no mistaking these signals; that's the bad news", 8 December 2022

On Paul Volcker’s Policy ‘Moments’:

"I think there was a second Volcker moment that gets less publicity but is also important, and that occurred in the summer and fall of 1982."

Enrique Martínez-García, "Monetary Policy at a Crossroads: Donald Kohn on Controlling Inflation, Ukraine Effects, Volcker-Era Lessons", 
Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, Dallas Fed Economics, July 05, 2022

Singled Out: Historical Performance of Individual Stocks

Bryan Ting, PhD, Researcher; Wes Crill, PhD, Head of Investment Strategists and Vice President
Dimensional, Insights, May 11, 2022

The More Things Change…

I stopped in a local antique shop over the weekend. The owner is retiring and trying to clear out as much as she can before they close the doors so I paid a mere $3 for the Life magazine above. I think it might be worth many multiples of that price for investors who think our situation today is somehow uniquely bad. The cover headline could just as easily be describing today as 1970.

Joseph Y. Calhoun III
Alhambra Investments, Weekly Market Pulse: The More Things Change… September 5th, 2022

Powell’s White Whale

The lagged effect of inflation.

Douglas R. Terry, CFA
Alhambra Investments, September 1st, 2022
Articles: 1-10 / 308
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