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Capital Markets Lab

Exploring Market Characteristics, Participants, Behavioural Biases, Correlations and Causations, Predictions, Gloom and Doom, Tipping points, Misperceptions, Noise, Risk and Returns, Uncertainty, Volatility, Cycles, Assumptions and more...

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Equities in a Society of Control, Part I

What was the difference between pre-Napoleonic and post-Napoleonic European societies? The French philosopher Michel Foucault once described the former as ‘Sovereign’ and the latter as ‘Disciplinary’.

Didier Darcet
Gavekal Intelligence Software, The Quant Corner, July 3, 2020

Stocks and the Matthew effect

“The rich get richer and the poor get poorer.” This famous adage has its roots in a biblical verse in the Gospel according to Matthew 25:29: “For to everyone who has will more be given, and he will have abundance; but from him who has not, even what he has will be taken away .”

Steef Bergakker, Senior Portfolio Manager
Robeco, Insights, Graph of the Week, 03 July 2020

Memo to the (Virtual) Investment Committee II: Fear and the Psychology of Bear Markets

While it is, of course, a cliché to say that markets are driven by fear and greed, like many clichés this one contains a strong element of truth. The bad news for us humans is that within our brains, emotion appears to have primacy over cognitive function.

James Montier
GMO White Paper, March 25, 2020

The quantity theory of wealth, continued

Simon Ward, Economic Adviser
Janus Henderson Investors, May 2020

The quantity theory of wealth

G7 annual broad money growth is the highest since the 1970s. The consensus argues that this will not be reflected in strong nominal GDP growth and / or rising asset prices because of a faster fall in the velocity of circulation, which has been in trend decline for 50+ years.

Simon Ward, Economic Adviser
Janus Henderson Investors, May 2020

What next for global real estate?

Excerpt

Michael Gobitschek, Portfolio Manager
Skagen Funds, 12 May 2020

Now, Zoom is worth more than the top seven airlines combined.

Iman Gosh
Visual Capitalist, May 15, 2020

Stocks and Unemployment’s Relationship Hasn’t Changed

Our thoughts on a novel way some news coverage has displayed unemployment.

Editorial Staff
Fisher Investments MarketMinder, May 11 2020

Weak vs strong balance sheets

Balance sheet strength matters now more than ever

Kasper Elmgreen, Head of Equities
Amundi Asset Management, Cross Asset Investment Strategy, May 2020

Living in the future: Are equity markets at odds with the economics?

With lockdown continuing and the tone of news flow deteriorating, it can be hard to reconcile the recent bounce in equity markets with how we may feel personally.

Stuart Canning
M&G Investments, Episode, 1 May 2020
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