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Capital Markets Lab

Exploring Market Characteristics, Participants, Behavioural Biases, Correlations and Causations, Predictions, Gloom and Doom, Tipping points, Misperceptions, Noise, Risk and Returns, Uncertainty, Volatility, Cycles, Assumptions and more...

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Who holds sovereign debt and why it matters

BIS Working Papers No 1099

Monetary and Economic Department

Xiang Fang, Bryan Hardy, Karen K. Lewis
BIS, May 2023

Ditch the Angst. The BoE Chief Economist’s Inflation Comments Were an Off-Target Bore

Context is always a friend.

Elisabeth Dellinger
Fisher Investments, 27 April 2023

Investment Review April 2023

Many impossible things are happening in the investment world at the moment; like the bluebottle which sits upside-down on the ceiling, we have to come to realise these things were not so impossible, after all.

Jonathan Ruffer, Chairman
Ruffer, Investment Review, 3 April 2023

Hanke's Currency Watchlist

Prof. Steve H. Hanke
Johns Hopkins University, Whiting School of Engineering, 24 March 2023

''... the only thing the Fed hates more than inflation is a banking crisis.''

Quote

Fisher Investments Editorial Staff, As Winter Wanes, Prices Continue to Cool, Inflation is easing even more than headline data suggest.
Fisher Investments, March 14, 2023

US Equity Performance vs. the Rest of the World

10 Years Ended 31 December 2022

T. Rowe Price,  February 2023

The Lost Decade

”2022 was one of the worst years for fixed-income investors in history. Bonds lost money. Stocks lost money. Crypto lost money. Inflation rose to levels not seen since the 1980s. The only thing that increased in value were commodities. You have to go back to the Civil War in the United States or the Napoleonic Wars in Britain to find a worse year for bonds”.

Dr. Brian Taylor, Chief Economist
Global Financial Data, February 22, 2023

American Pie

"When inflation appeared, it was deemed transitory. When it persisted, there was a pause of disbelief. Then everyone lost their nerve."

Henry Maxey, Chief Investment Officer
Ruffer, The Ruffer Review, February 2023

Stock Market Liquidity, Monetary Policy and the Business Cycle

Working Paper

Markus Leippold, University of Zurich; Swiss Finance Institute; Vincent Wolff, University of Zurich - Department of Banking and Finance
Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper No. 22-93, 18 November 2022
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