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Capital Markets Lab

Exploring Market Characteristics, Participants, Behavioural Biases, Correlations and Causations, Predictions, Gloom and Doom, Tipping points, Misperceptions, Noise, Risk and Returns, Uncertainty, Volatility, Cycles, Assumptions and more...

Articles: 1-10 / 301
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Singled Out: Historical Performance of Individual Stocks

Bryan Ting, PhD, Researcher; Wes Crill, PhD, Head of Investment Strategists and Vice President
Dimensional, Insights, May 11, 2022

The More Things Change…

I stopped in a local antique shop over the weekend. The owner is retiring and trying to clear out as much as she can before they close the doors so I paid a mere $3 for the Life magazine above. I think it might be worth many multiples of that price for investors who think our situation today is somehow uniquely bad. The cover headline could just as easily be describing today as 1970.

Joseph Y. Calhoun III
Alhambra Investments, Weekly Market Pulse: The More Things Change… September 5th, 2022

Powell’s White Whale

The lagged effect of inflation.

Douglas R. Terry, CFA
Alhambra Investments, September 1st, 2022

A guide to substitution in a high inflation world

A sideways look at economics

Kevin Loane
Fathom Consulting, 19 August 2022

What are companies telling us about recession risks?

Inflation is a concern for companies, so too recession. Indeed, the last time managements were talking this much about recession - they were in one.

Tina Fong, Strategist
Schroders, In Focus,19 July 2022

Fragility of Safe Asset Markets

Thomas M. Eisenbach, Gregory Phelan
Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Staff Reports, no. 1026, July 2022

Performance of US equities in the 1970s

Marko Gränitz (guest author), Stagflation, then and now
LGT, May 18, 2022

Why We Don’t Think Valuations Should Worry You

Near term or long term, valuations don’t predict stock returns.

Fisher Investments Editorial Staff
Fisher Investments, May 25, 2022

Are The 2s Already Rejecting Rate Hikes?

The last four weeks have seen the most deliberately belligerent rate stance from officials since 1994. Yet, during those same weeks the 2-year note, the Treasury security most sensitive to alternative policy rates, has largely dismissed all that. Why?

Jeffrey P. Snider
Alhambra Investments, May 20, 2022

High Prices Don’t Cure High Prices

"This was an interesting week, in which it seemed that equity investors finally and abruptly got the message that high inflation is bad for the market."

Michael Ashton, CFA, Managing Principal
Enduring Investments, April 23, 2022
Articles: 1-10 / 301
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