Capital Markets

A Visual History of the Federal Reserve System

Unconventional policy tools in the future

"In that regard, an interesting question is: will those unconventional policy tools become conventional policy tools in normal times?"

Haruhiko Kuroda, Bank of Japan, May 29, 2019

...on Quantitative Diseasing in America.

"And that Quantitative Easing as it is called is always contractionary and deflationary, and that we’re having a bull market and economic expansion DESPITE it, not BECAUSE of it."

Ken Fisher, Fisher Investment, Capital Markets Update: Summer 2017

Inverted Yield Curve (Nearly Always) Signals Tight Monetary Policy, Rising Unemployment

"In other words, monetary policy’s brake pedal is more powerful than its gas pedal."

Evan F. Koenig and Keith R. Phillips, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, February 12, 2019

Information in the Yield Curve about Future Recessions

"Furthermore, when interpreting the yield curve evidence, one should keep in mind the adage “correlation is not causation.”

Michael D. Bauer and Thomas M. Mertens, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, August 27, 2018

The FOMC policy rate projections versus reality

Federal Funds Rate, 2012 - 2017

James Bullard, FRB-St. Louis, Jan. 12, 2017

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Uncertainty, Risk, and the Comfort of a Good Story

Oussama Himani, Mahmoud Rasmi

Parkview, March 13, 2026

Meilensteine der Schweizer Geschichte:

Prof. Christoph Mörgeli über die Schweizerische Nationalbank

Prof. Christoph Mörgeli, Roger Köppel

Die Weltwoche, 17 January 2026

The Callan Periodic Table of Investment Returns

Annual Returns for Key Indices Ranked in Order of Performance (2006–2025)

Callan, January 2026

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Stocks don’t follow seasonal adages, no matter how merry.

Fisher Investments Editorial Staff

Fisher Investments, 19 December 2025

NVIDIA’s Valuation Now Exceeds Japan’s GDP

Between the Lines

Between the Lines, DoubleLine, 06.11.2025

Count like an Egyptian

Having each year begin with January is really just the result of a historical coincidence. So too are financial records.

Finn Øystein Bergh

The optimal Pareto, Pareto Asset Management, 14.10.2025

Biggest companies in the world by market cap in 2000

Andrew Heiskell

Wellington Management, October 2025

Abstract

Chris Brightman, Campbell R. Harvey

Research Affiliates

Following Boswell

Following Boswell into the Arcadian Fire

Hugh Hendry

The Acid Capitalist, April 1st, 2025

From COVID Lockdowns to Exchange Rates, Capital Theory, and Monetary Policy

What do COVID lockdowns, currency collapses, and hyperinflation all have in common? According to Steve Hanke, they all reveal how central planners manipulate fear, money, and power to control society.

Steve H. Hanke

Mises Institute, 24 March 2025

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"I am not yet tir'd of doing nothing."

David Hume Letter to Adam Smith, January 1766

"Let us try for once not to be right."

Samuel Rosenstock, aka Tristan Tzara, a French-Romanian poet and essayist.

"Dada Manifesto", 1918, translated by Robert Motherwell, in "Dada Painters and Poets".

Cheats and Deceits

How Animals and Plants Exploit and Mislead

Martin Stevens, Oxford University Press, February 2016

Bristlecone Pines and Markets

Bristlecone Pines do very well where most other plants cannot even grow. What would be the equivalent in today's markets?

The Great Crash, Depression, Deflation and FDR

DJIA, 1929 - 1940

Japanese markets across a century of events

1900 - 2000

Nominal and Real Returns on Japanese Asset Classes

Swiss markets across a century of events

1900 - 2000

Nominal and Real Returns on Swiss Asset Classes

The Russian Stock Market Before the Revolution

"Russian stocks advanced more in price than American stocks between 1864 and 1914, but American companies paid larger dividends. Price and dividends offset each other and during that 45-year period, the two stock markets provided approximately equal returns."

Dr. Brian Taylor, Global Financial Data, 21 March 2018