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Capital Markets Lab

Exploring Market Characteristics, Participants, Behavioural Biases, Correlations and Causations, Predictions, Gloom and Doom, Tipping points, Misperceptions, Noise, Risk and Returns, Uncertainty, Volatility, Cycles, Assumptions and more...

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Has the Tech Bubble Burst or Just Been Mildly Deflated?

"...their share prices could still go nowhere over many years."

Alan Miller, Chief Investment Officer
SCM Direct, 08 September 2020

Goodbye to a Legacy: Exxon Mobil

ExxonMobil, formerly Standard Oil of New Jersey, was removed from the DJIA, but Chevron, formerly Standard Oil of California, will remain.

Dr. Brian Taylor, Chief Economist
Global Financial Data, August 24, 2020

Weak UK GDP and a weak FTSE: the questions they raise for passive investors

"When we look around the world, differences in stock market returns at a country level so far this year seem far more to do with the balance of sectors within each market than a particular country’s GDP."

Stuart Canning
M&G Investments, Episode, 20 August 2020

When the music stops

With the decade-long valuation and performance divergence between growth and value stocks continuing to widen over the summer, it is no wonder that investors, strategists and asset allocators are scratching their heads and considering if value investing is dead. It would be unwise, however, to ignore the risks when the tide does start to turn.

Alexandra Morris, Investment Director
Skagen Funds, CIO update, 13. August 2020

The Lystrosaurus

One of the foundational ideas of the Zeitgeist is that measuring linguistic similarity is a powerful way to observe what we are being told matters by those who publish most of the words we read in a given day.

Rusty Guinn
Epsilon Theory, The Zeitgeist, June 17, 2020

“Stop saying the market makes no sense!”

Quote

Jim Cramer
CNBC, Mad Money, August 3 2020

The Consequences Of “Worthless Cash''

In the second quarter of this year, global equity markets registered their best quarterly performance in two decades. What was behind this record-breaking rebound? A number of explanations appeared possible.

Louis-Vincent Gave
Evergreen GaveKal, July 31, 2020

Fire & Fawning

The CEOs of Apple, Amazon, Facebook, and Google are scheduled to testify in front of the US House Judiciary Antitrust Subcommittee. Some thoughts…

Scott Galloway
No Mercy / No Malice, July 24, 2020

$1900 Gold Will Depress Growth. So Did $1,200, $500 and $36 Gold

"This is the definition of slower growth. Consumption is the easy part. It’s the abstinence that drives progress as new ideas are invested in."

John Tamny
RealClearMarkets, July 28, 2020

A Perspective on Drawdowns

S&P 500 Percent Off High Since March 9, 2009

Jill Mislinski, “S&P 500 Snapshot: Down 0.47% YTD”
Advisor Perspectives, July 24, 2020
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