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Capital Markets Lab

Exploring Market Characteristics, Participants, Behavioural Biases, Correlations and Causations, Predictions, Gloom and Doom, Tipping points, Misperceptions, Noise, Risk and Returns, Uncertainty, Volatility, Cycles, Assumptions and more...

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The everywhere rally

Keeping a lid on the asset boom, continued...

Liam Bailey, Global Head of Research
Knight Frank, Your midweek update, 05.05.2021

Reflation train — arriving on time

As we head into the predictable spring/summer inflation surge and vaccine driven reopenings of 2021, Jenna Barnard and John Pattullo, co‑heads of Strategic Fixed Income, dissect the reflation narrative, sharing interesting views that go somewhat against consensus.

Jenna Barnard, CFA , Co-Head of Strategic Fixed Income, Portfolio Manager; John Pattullo, Co-Head of Strategic Fixed Income, Portfolio Manager
Janus Henderson Investors, Investment Viewpoints, April 2021

Average Company Lifespan on S&P 500 Index

S&P 500 lifespans continue to shrink

Scott D. Anthony, S. Patrick Viguerie, Evan I. Schwartz, and John Van Landeghem
Innosight, 2018 Corporate Longevity Forecast: Creative Destruction is Accelerating, February 2018

Margin Debt and the Market: Up Another 1.9% in February, Continues Record Trend

Let's examine the numbers and study the relationship between margin debt and the market, using the S&P 500 as the surrogate for the latter.

Jill Mislinski
Advisors Perspectives, March 17, 2021

The Epidemiology of Inflation

The great Milton Friedman famnously referred to inflation as a disease.

Adrian Owens, Investment DIrector; Rahul Mathur, Investment Manager
GAM Investments, 09 March 2021

Pricing in financial markets: oil and the hog cycle

Pig breeding, the production of energy commodities and ore mining all follow the hog cycle, a key pricing model.

Michael Hillbrink, Senior Investment Advisor, LGT Bank (Switzerland)
LGT, March 8, 2021

The truth about growth and value performance

Not all growth stocks have been performing as well, nor value stocks as badly, as you might think.

Duncan Lamont, CFA Head of Research and Analytics
Schroders, 9 February 2021

Bubble trouble

The intention of this note is not to time the market but to bring together recent data points and compare them to the 1999 ‘dot-com bubble’ to provide some perspective. Does the market today still offer attractive investment opportunities?

Jasmeet Chadha
M&G Investments, M&G Equity Team, 8 February 2021

Modern Pandemics: Recession and Recovery

Ma, Chang, John Rogers, and Sili Zhou
International Finance Discussion Papers 1295. Washington: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, August 2020

Where to find shelter from rising inflation

Some investors are worried that inflation is set to rise. We look at which assets are likely to offer the best protection.

Sean Markowicz, CFA Strategist, Research and Analytics
Schroders, 1 February 2021
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