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Capital Markets Lab

Exploring Market Characteristics, Participants, Behavioural Biases, Correlations and Causations, Predictions, Gloom and Doom, Tipping points, Misperceptions, Noise, Risk and Returns, Uncertainty, Volatility, Cycles, Assumptions and more...

Articles: 1-10 / 270
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Deep evidence that factor investing works well in bond markets

More than two centuries of data confirms that value, momentum and low risk offer attractive premiums. These are consistent across various market and macroeconomic scenarios.

Guido Baltussen, Lead Portfolio Manager
Robeco, Insights, 12 July 2021

A “monetarist” perspective on current equity markets - July 2021

Monetary trends continue to suggest a slowdown in global industrial momentum in H2 2021, with a rising probability that weakness will be sustained into H1 2022 – contrary to the prior central view here that near-term cooling would represent a pause in a medium-term economic upswing.

Simon Ward, Economic Adviser
Janus Henderson Investors, Global Perspectives, July 2021

"In a world with only passive investors, capital would only flow into large companies and not necessarily into good, promising, or efficient companies. Even in a centrally planned economy, capital is likely to be distributed more efficiently.

Fortunately, this state has not yet been reached."

Professor Dr Bernd Meyer, Chief Investment Strategist & Head of Multi Asset
Berenberg Markets, Focus, 05 May 2021

The Complicated Reality of Those Inflation-and-Stock-Return Analyses

We crunched a lot—and we mean a lot—of numbers on inflation and stocks.

Editorial Staff
Fisher Investments, 1 June 2021

Bonds Didn’t Get The Inflation Memo

"And in the end, while most economists fret about deflation, it is after weak dollar periods we are most vulnerable."

Joseph Callhoun
Alhambra Investments, Weekly Market Pulse: Bonds Didn’t Get The Inflation Memo, May 16, 2021

Has the value ship sailed?

Value’s recent strong performance has led many investors to question whether they’ve missed the boat. Here’s why we think they haven’t.

Liam Nunn , Fund Manager; Simon Adler, Fund Manager
Schroders, 11/05/2021

Reinventing the Greatest Generation

In Search of the GI & Infrastructure Bills of Tomorrow

Danielle Dimartino Booth, CEO & Chief Strategist
Quill Intelligence, April 21, 2021

The everywhere rally

Keeping a lid on the asset boom, continued...

Liam Bailey, Global Head of Research
Knight Frank, Your midweek update, 05.05.2021

Reflation train — arriving on time

As we head into the predictable spring/summer inflation surge and vaccine driven reopenings of 2021, Jenna Barnard and John Pattullo, co‑heads of Strategic Fixed Income, dissect the reflation narrative, sharing interesting views that go somewhat against consensus.

Jenna Barnard, CFA , Co-Head of Strategic Fixed Income, Portfolio Manager; John Pattullo, Co-Head of Strategic Fixed Income, Portfolio Manager
Janus Henderson Investors, Investment Viewpoints, April 2021

Average Company Lifespan on S&P 500 Index

S&P 500 lifespans continue to shrink

Scott D. Anthony, S. Patrick Viguerie, Evan I. Schwartz, and John Van Landeghem
Innosight, 2018 Corporate Longevity Forecast: Creative Destruction is Accelerating, February 2018
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