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The Time Capsule

Markets in History

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''... the only thing the Fed hates more than inflation is a banking crisis.''

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Fisher Investments Editorial Staff, As Winter Wanes, Prices Continue to Cool, Inflation is easing even more than headline data suggest.
Fisher Investments, March 14, 2023
The Lost Decade

The Lost Decade

”2022 was one of the worst years for fixed-income investors in history. Bonds lost money. Stocks lost money. Crypto lost money. Inflation rose to levels not seen since the 1980s. The only thing that increased in value were commodities. You have to go back to the Civil War in the United States or the Napoleonic Wars in Britain to find a worse year for bonds”.

Dr. Brian Taylor, Chief Economist
Global Financial Data, February 22, 2023
Long-term Returns to Dutch and Indonesian stocks

Long-term Returns to Dutch and Indonesian stocks

The Netherlands has more stock market history than any other country. Trading in shares of the East India Company began trading in Amsterdam in 1601 and continued to trade until the company went bankrupt in 1794.

Dr. Brian Taylor, Chief Economist
Global Financial Data, December 21, 2022
Market chaos as major players call the biggest bluff.

Market chaos as major players call the biggest bluff.

The FOMC met today and hiked rates. More than that, they set course for more to come and policymakers holding those up for a longer period. And the markets completely, totally, utterly rejected the "almighty" Fed. This is why.

Jeffrey Snider
Eurodollar University, 15 December 2022
Les devins, ou, commentaire des principales sortes de devinations :

Les devins, ou, commentaire des principales sortes de devinations :

"distingué en quinze livres, esquels les ruses et impostures de Satan sont descouvertes, solidement refutées, et separées d'avec les sainctes propheties et d'avec les predictions naturelles."

Caspar Peucer
Heudrik Connix, Anvers, 1584

''Clarity in the stock market is always expensive to buy!''

Quote

Ken Fisher, Founder and Executive Chairman of Fisher Investments
Fisher Investments, Ken Fisher Debunks: “Don’t Buy In Until There is Clarity That You’re in a Bull Market”, 9 December 2022
Ken Fisher Debunks:

Ken Fisher Debunks:

“Don’t Buy In Until There is Clarity That You’re in a Bull Market”,

Ken Fisher, Founder and Executive Chairman of Fisher Investments
Fisher Investments, 9 December 2022
The More Things Change…

The More Things Change…

I stopped in a local antique shop over the weekend. The owner is retiring and trying to clear out as much as she can before they close the doors so I paid a mere $3 for the Life magazine above. I think it might be worth many multiples of that price for investors who think our situation today is somehow uniquely bad. The cover headline could just as easily be describing today as 1970.

Joseph Y. Calhoun III
Alhambra Investments, Weekly Market Pulse: The More Things Change… September 5th, 2022
Powell’s White Whale

Powell’s White Whale

The lagged effect of inflation.

Douglas R. Terry, CFA
Alhambra Investments, September 1st, 2022

''The rise of Greta Thunberg will be looked back on as one of the most bizarre periods in our civilisation’s history...

...and will most surely be seen as one of the most ridiculous, and, sadly, destructive liberal media creations ever concocted."

Dr Steve Turley
Turley Talks, Where’s Greta?Thunberg’s DOOMSDAY Cult Has GONE BUST!!!, August 29, 2022
Recent Inflation Surges Have Modestly Affected Long-Term Expectations

Recent Inflation Surges Have Modestly Affected Long-Term Expectations

"Despite the historically high unexpected inflation, current revisions to long-term inflation expectations remain around 20 basis points, similar to the revisions in 2018 and slightly smaller than revisions in 2014."

J. Scott Davis, senior economist
Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, April 05, 2022

The shrinking stock market

Michael B. McDonald IV Ph D
Journal of Financial Markets, Volume 58, March 2022

Markets vs wars

With the Russia-Ukraine war continuing to rattle global equity markets, we revisit historical analogs of how markets typically behave around wars.

Variant Perception, March 5, 2022
Stock markets usually fall before war breaks out, not afterwards

Stock markets usually fall before war breaks out, not afterwards

Professor Dr Bernd Meyer, Chief Investment Strategist & Head of Multi Asset
Berenberg Markets - Monitor, 28 February 2022

Compulsory vaccination: déjà vu pattern from the 19th century

Excerpt

Suzanne Humphries MD, Roman Bystrianyk
Dissolving Illusions: Disease, Vaccines, and The Forgotten History, July 2013
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