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Scientific Observations on Financial Markets

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”Did Lockdowns Work? The Verdict on Covid Restrictions

”Our conclusion is clear: the world was sold a bill of goods about lockdowns. Covid lockdowns represent the biggest policy mistake in modern times.”

Steve H. Hanke
June 2023

Who holds sovereign debt and why it matters

BIS Working Papers No 1099

Monetary and Economic Department

Xiang Fang, Bryan Hardy, Karen K. Lewis
BIS, May 2023

Measuring the Quality of Money

Vytautas Žukauskas
The Quarterly Journal of Austrian Economics, Spring 2021

Inflation and Individual Investors' Behavior: Evidence from the German Hyperinflation

Forthcoming, Review of Financial Studies

Fabio Braggion, Felix von Meyerinck, Nic Schaub
University of St.Gallen, School of Finance

Hanke's Currency Watchlist

Prof. Steve H. Hanke
Johns Hopkins University, Whiting School of Engineering, 24 March 2023

Hanke's Inflation Dashboard

In this week's inflation roundup, #Zimbabwe is in 2nd place. On Mar 23, I accurately measured Zim's inflation at 473%/yr, almost 2x ZimStat's official inflation rate of 243.8%/yr. Phony measurements from Taguma Mahonde & ZimStat.

Prof. Steve H. Hanke
Johns Hopkins University, Whiting School of Engineering, Department of Environmental Health and Engineering, 23 March 2023

Inflation in der Schweiz seit 1850

Prof. Peter Kugler
Universität Basel, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät, Faculty Blog, 22. März 2023

Stock Market Liquidity, Monetary Policy and the Business Cycle

Working Paper

Markus Leippold, University of Zurich; Swiss Finance Institute; Vincent Wolff, University of Zurich - Department of Banking and Finance
Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper No. 22-93, 18 November 2022

The Bank of Amsterdam and the limits of fiat money

BIS Working Papers No 1065

Wilko Bolt, Jon Frost, Hyun Song Shin, Peter Wierts
BIS, 19 January 2023

“In economics, things take longer to happen than you think they will, and they happen faster than you thought they could.”

Quote

Rudiger Dornbusch (1942–2002)
German economist, who subsequently moved to the United States, where he obtained his Ph.D. in economics from the University of Chicago
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