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Scientific Observations on Financial Markets

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Stock Market Liquidity, Monetary Policy and the Business Cycle

Working Paper

Markus Leippold, University of Zurich; Swiss Finance Institute; Vincent Wolff, University of Zurich - Department of Banking and Finance
Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper No. 22-93, 18 November 2022

“In economics, things take longer to happen than you think they will, and they happen faster than you thought they could.”

Quote

Rudiger Dornbusch (1942–2002)
German economist, who subsequently moved to the United States, where he obtained his Ph.D. in economics from the University of Chicago

On Paul Volcker’s Policy ‘Moments’:

"I think there was a second Volcker moment that gets less publicity but is also important, and that occurred in the summer and fall of 1982."

Enrique Martínez-García, "Monetary Policy at a Crossroads: Donald Kohn on Controlling Inflation, Ukraine Effects, Volcker-Era Lessons", 
Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, Dallas Fed Economics, July 05, 2022

''Mapping the model to the estimated transfers, we find that the main purpose of the outsized Greek bailout was to prevent an exit from the eurozone and possible contagion.''

"Bailouts to avoid sovereign default were comparatively modest."

Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, Philippe Martin, Todd Messer; The Economics of Sovereign Debt, Bailouts and the Eurozone Crisis
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, International Finance Discussion Papers 1351, August 2022

Singled Out: Historical Performance of Individual Stocks

Bryan Ting, PhD, Researcher; Wes Crill, PhD, Head of Investment Strategists and Vice President
Dimensional, Insights, May 11, 2022

Fragility of Safe Asset Markets

Thomas M. Eisenbach, Gregory Phelan
Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Staff Reports, no. 1026, July 2022

The shrinking stock market

Michael B. McDonald IV Ph D
Journal of Financial Markets, Volume 58, March 2022

Unregulated and regulated free banking: Evidence from the case of Switzerland (1826–1907)

Nils Herger
Explorations in Economic History, Volume 83, January 2022

A Literature Review and Meta-Analysis of the Effects of Lockdowns on COVID-19 Mortality

"While this meta-analysis concludes that lockdowns have had little to no public health effects, they have imposed enormous economic and social costs where they have been adopted. In consequence, lockdown policies are ill-founded and should be rejected as a pandemic policy instrument."

Jonas Herby, Lars Jonung, Steve H. Hanke
Studies in Applied Economics, No. 200, Baltimore: The Johns Hopkins Institute for Applied Economics, Global Health, and the Study of Business Enterprise, January 2022.

The Big Problem of Small Change

The Big Problem of Small Change offers the first credible and analytically sound explanation of how a problem that dogged monetary authorities for hundreds of years was finally solved.

Thomas J. Sargent, François R. Velde
Princeton University Press, November 2003
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