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A Perspective on Drawdowns

S&P 500 Percent Off High Since March 9, 2009

Jill Mislinski, “S&P 500 Snapshot: Down 0.47% YTD”
Advisor Perspectives, July 24, 2020

Stocks and the Matthew effect

“The rich get richer and the poor get poorer.” This famous adage has its roots in a biblical verse in the Gospel according to Matthew 25:29: “For to everyone who has will more be given, and he will have abundance; but from him who has not, even what he has will be taken away .”

Steef Bergakker, Senior Portfolio Manager
Robeco, Insights, Graph of the Week, 03 July 2020

A Supercharged Recovery?

"The good news of a quick US recovery has a worrisome implication."

Mathieu Savary, Global Strategist
BCA Research, Chart Of The Week, June 22, 2020

Google search terms frequency (worldwide)

January 2020 - May 2020

Laurence Monnier
Aviva Investors, "COVID-19 and data infrastructure: Will demand translate into profit?", 18 June 2020

U.S. Personal Saving Rate

As of April 2020.

U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis
retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, June 3, 2020.

''Preventing a Depression''

"The environment today is not entirely dissimilar from the early 1930s, the last time a demand shock of a similar magnitude occurred."

Brian L. Giuliano, "We’re Fighting Deflation, Not Causing Inflation… Yet"
Brandywine Global, Around the Curve, Haver Analytics, June 1 2020

''The maximum pain trade''

Markets take great delight in wrong-footing the maximum number of participants.

Peter Ahluwalia, Chief Investment Officer
Swisspartners AG, Partners’ View, May 2020

What next for global real estate?

Excerpt

Michael Gobitschek, Portfolio Manager
Skagen Funds, 12 May 2020

Global Trade Volumes Reflect the Pause in Globalization

"Moreover, in the years since the global financial crisis, international trade has been a less powerful engine of economic growth."

Nathan Sheets, PhD Chief Economist, Head of Global Macroeconomic Research
PGIM Fixed Income, Globalization 2.0—A New Synthesis, Haver Analytics, May 2020

Now, Zoom is worth more than the top seven airlines combined.

Iman Gosh
Visual Capitalist, May 15, 2020

An unusual downturn: services have taken a sizeable hit

"The services sector has taken a much greater hit during the COVID-19 crisis than has typically been the case in past downturns, and it is the largest contributor to global GDP."

Kirsty Clark
M&G, The Equities Forum, The Shape of U?, 01 May 2020

Weak vs strong balance sheets

Balance sheet strength matters now more than ever

Kasper Elmgreen, Head of Equities
Amundi Asset Management, Cross Asset Investment Strategy, May 2020

Bear Market Rallies - A Historical Context

There have been five major bear markets in the S&P since the Depression, with each one experiencing rallies along the way that turned out to be false dawns.

Variant Perception Research, April 30th 2020

WEI (Weekly Economic Index) Chart & Excerpt

Looking at the chart below, however, makes me wonder whether I should've left this particular stone unturned.

Jonathan Allum, Strategist
SMBC Group, The Blah!, April 16th 2020

City mobility

Proportion of the population moving, compared to usual, over the most recent three weeks

Flora Harley
Knight Frank, Global City Economic Watch, 30 March 2020
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