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Which Country Will Outperform? Here’s Why It Shouldn’t Matter.

Investment opportunities exist all around the globe, but the randomness of global stock returns makes it exceedingly difficult to figure out which markets are likely to be outperformers. How should investors deal with this kind of uncertainty?

Dimensional, Perspectives, January 17, 2023

Pictet LPP 2000 Swiss Pension Fund Indices

2022 YTD Returns (31.12.2022)

Pictet Asset Management SA, January 2023

Pyramid Distribution of US Equity Returns

S&P 500: 1825 - 2020

InvestmentOffice, January 2021

Credit Suisse Pension Fund Index

2019 YTD Returns (31.12.2019)

Credit Suisse, January 2020

2018 U.S. Endowment Returns

"Data gathered from 802 U.S. colleges and universities for the 2018 NACUBO-TIAA Study of Endowments® (NTSE) show that participating institutions’ endowments returned an average of 8.2 percent (net of fees) for the 2018 fiscal year (July 1, 2017 – June 30, 2018) compared with 12.2 percent for FY17."

NACUBO-TIAA Study of Endowments (NTSE), January 2019

Technology/Telecoms Bubble of 1999/2000

36% of MSCI World Index is
comprised of tech stocks

Schroder, MSCI

Japanese Stock Market Bubble in the late 1980s

44% of MSCI World Index is comprised of Japanese stocks

Schroder, MSCI
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