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Investment Research from our Asset Manager Members

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The Journey to QN

We have written many times on QE (Quantitative Easing) and QT (Quantitative Tightening); however, we have never talked about QN. QN is the ultimate goal for central banks – but what exactly is it?

Richard Woolnough, Carlo Putti
M&G Investments,  Bond Vigilantes, 12 June 2024

Cracks in the armour of the resilient consumer

Consumption spending accounts for approximately two-thirds of the US economy. It is vital that we understand the dynamics of the consumer because if the consumer falters, so does the US economy, which has far-reaching consequence

Robert Burrows
M&G Investments,  Bond Vigilantes, 22 May 2024

Let’s get real (about interest rates)

Higher real rates in the coming years might favor value stocks

Sebastien Page, Head of Global Multi-Asset and CIO
T. Rowe Price,  May 2024

Gold prices: beyond inflation and real yields

Renowned for its role as a hedge against economic uncertainty and inflation, gold has long captivated investors. One key factor influencing gold’s price is the relationship between real yields and inflation. Over the long term, gold has protected one against the pernicious effects of inflation and remains a powerful diversifier within an investment portfolio:

Robert Burrows
M&G Investments,  Bond Vigilantes, 25 April 2024

100 Days of Milei

Javier Milei, Argentina’s newly elected president, shares similarities with Roosevelt in that he has inherited, to put it mildly, a struggling economy, and has begun attempting to implement reforms in very quick order.

Michael Talbot
M&G Investments,  Bond Vigilantes, 19 March 2024

The case for value

Reasonable valuations could provide an upside surprise

Tim Murray, Capital Markets Strategist, Multi‑Asset Division
T. Rowe Price,  March 2024

Japan, the steep climb that’s about to flatten out

The yield curve in Japan is reaching intriguing levels. The Bank of Japan (BoJ) has remained resolute, maintaining an ultra-accommodative monetary policy in a world aggressively hiking interest rates to stem inflation.

Robert Burrows
M&G Investments,  Bond Vigilantes, 1 February 2024

Mind the gap: The value case for global small and mid caps

Jonas Edholm: Mind the gap: The value case for global small and mid caps

Jonas Edholm
Skagen, 18 January 2024

The Carousel of Confusion

What’s more, if you’d taken a 12 month sabbatical through 2023, spent on a desert island listening to the Smiths and the Velvet Underground, then upon firing up your Bloomberg on New Year’s Day, what would be most surprising of all, is that none of this uncertainty is visible in markets.

David Knee
M&G Investments,  Bond Vigilantes, 11 January 2024

Three important insights from 2023

A focus on bond yields, the Magnificent 7, and the Fed pivot

Tim Murray, Capital Markets Strategist, Multi‑Asset Division
T. Rowe Price,  January 2024
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