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Japan, the steep climb that’s about to flatten out

The yield curve in Japan is reaching intriguing levels. The Bank of Japan (BoJ) has remained resolute, maintaining an ultra-accommodative monetary policy in a world aggressively hiking interest rates to stem inflation.

Robert Burrows
M&G Investments,  Bond Vigilantes, 1 February 2024

Mind the gap: The value case for global small and mid caps

Jonas Edholm: Mind the gap: The value case for global small and mid caps

Jonas Edholm
Skagen, 18 January 2024

The Carousel of Confusion

What’s more, if you’d taken a 12 month sabbatical through 2023, spent on a desert island listening to the Smiths and the Velvet Underground, then upon firing up your Bloomberg on New Year’s Day, what would be most surprising of all, is that none of this uncertainty is visible in markets.

David Knee
M&G Investments,  Bond Vigilantes, 11 January 2024

Three important insights from 2023

A focus on bond yields, the Magnificent 7, and the Fed pivot

Tim Murray, Capital Markets Strategist, Multi‑Asset Division
T. Rowe Price,  January 2024

An overview and summary of market outlooks from leading financial institutions

Every year, the largest banks, asset managers and consulting firms publish their economic and market outlooks for the following year, highlighting key topics, trends, opportunities and areas of concerns. For the first time, we have used ChatGPT to skim-read through and summarize 48 of these outlook presentations and built a database, containing the various opinions expressed in the the areas that are traditionally of interest to our clients and us.

Amadeus Capital, January 5, 2024

Are US Stocks Worth the Price?

The Magnificent 7 have distorted US equity valuations

Tim Murray, Capital Markets Analyst
T. Rowe Price,  Investment Insights, November 2023

High yield maturity walls are steep, but not unclimbable

We are now 18 months into the Fed’s tightening cycle and many market participants, including us, have been surprised by the resilience of credit spreads, particularly in the high yield (HY) market where the option-adjusted spread for the Global HY index has dipped to the low 400s (bps), one of the tightest levels of post Global Financial Crisis observations.

Ana Gil
M&G Investments,  Bond Vigilantes, 9 October 2023

The Rising Cost of Capital: Bond Implication

Time to rethink fixed income portfolio

Arif Husain, Head of International Fixed Income
T. Rowe Price,  August 2023

Deflation Tsunami

Inflation is one of the great economic debates and often leaves big economic thinkers at loggerheads. I am not a financial titan, but looking at the world from 100,000 feet, the conditions are in place for the world to see inflation heading meaningfully lower.

Robert Burrows
M&G Investments,  Bond Vigilantes, 25 May 2023

USD: The King is Dead – Long Live the King

Robert Burrows
M&G Investments,  Bond Vigilantes, 13 April 2023
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