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Market Characteristics

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Let’s get real (about interest rates)

Higher real rates in the coming years might favor value stocks

Sebastien Page, Head of Global Multi-Asset and CIO
T. Rowe Price,  May 2024

Gold prices: beyond inflation and real yields

Renowned for its role as a hedge against economic uncertainty and inflation, gold has long captivated investors. One key factor influencing gold’s price is the relationship between real yields and inflation. Over the long term, gold has protected one against the pernicious effects of inflation and remains a powerful diversifier within an investment portfolio:

Robert Burrows
M&G Investments,  Bond Vigilantes, 25 April 2024

The case for value

Reasonable valuations could provide an upside surprise

Tim Murray, Capital Markets Strategist, Multi‑Asset Division
T. Rowe Price,  March 2024

Japan, the steep climb that’s about to flatten out

The yield curve in Japan is reaching intriguing levels. The Bank of Japan (BoJ) has remained resolute, maintaining an ultra-accommodative monetary policy in a world aggressively hiking interest rates to stem inflation.

Robert Burrows
M&G Investments,  Bond Vigilantes, 1 February 2024

Mind the gap: The value case for global small and mid caps

Jonas Edholm: Mind the gap: The value case for global small and mid caps

Jonas Edholm
Skagen, 18 January 2024

The Carousel of Confusion

What’s more, if you’d taken a 12 month sabbatical through 2023, spent on a desert island listening to the Smiths and the Velvet Underground, then upon firing up your Bloomberg on New Year’s Day, what would be most surprising of all, is that none of this uncertainty is visible in markets.

David Knee
M&G Investments,  Bond Vigilantes, 11 January 2024

Three important insights from 2023

A focus on bond yields, the Magnificent 7, and the Fed pivot

Tim Murray, Capital Markets Strategist, Multi‑Asset Division
T. Rowe Price,  January 2024

An overview and summary of market outlooks from leading financial institutions

Every year, the largest banks, asset managers and consulting firms publish their economic and market outlooks for the following year, highlighting key topics, trends, opportunities and areas of concerns. For the first time, we have used ChatGPT to skim-read through and summarize 48 of these outlook presentations and built a database, containing the various opinions expressed in the the areas that are traditionally of interest to our clients and us.

Amadeus Capital, January 5, 2024

Are US Stocks Worth the Price?

The Magnificent 7 have distorted US equity valuations

Tim Murray, Capital Markets Analyst
T. Rowe Price,  Investment Insights, November 2023

High yield maturity walls are steep, but not unclimbable

We are now 18 months into the Fed’s tightening cycle and many market participants, including us, have been surprised by the resilience of credit spreads, particularly in the high yield (HY) market where the option-adjusted spread for the Global HY index has dipped to the low 400s (bps), one of the tightest levels of post Global Financial Crisis observations.

Ana Gil
M&G Investments,  Bond Vigilantes, 9 October 2023
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