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   Investment Thoughts - Markets in History

 

 

Markets in History

Historical Perspectives on Markets and the Economy

 

 

 articles 1-10 / 86   page 1 of 9 »  
 
Benjamin Harrison and the Terrible Tariff
"The Smoot-Hawley Act of 1930 is blamed for intensifying the Great Depression, and the lesser-known McKinley Tariff of 1890 provides an instructive lesson on how protectionist policies can impact the stock market and politics."
Global Financial Data, January 25th 2017 , Dr. Brian Taylor

The Future of Energy Prices: Lessons from 750 Years of History
"... for most of history, commodity prices stayed the same for periods of several centuries. It was mainly in the 1500s and the 1900s that the world experienced irreversible increases in commodity prices."
Global Financial Data, January 5th 2017 , Dr. Brian Taylor

The Priceless Parable of Price Discovery
“Gentlemen prefer bonds.” So quipped Andrew Mellon in 1929 as stocks fell and investors rushed into bonds, pushing their yields down and prices up. Historians recount that the flight to safety had anything but a smooth landing.
Money Strong, December 21, 2016 , Danielle DiMartino Booth

Donald Trump on Wall Street
There are so many different aspects of Donald Trump’s life that we could talk about, but the focus here is on Trump’s two publicly traded companies, Trump Hotels & Casino Resorts Inc. and Trump Entertainment Resorts, Inc.
Global Financial Data, October 12th 2016 , Dr. Brian Taylor

Are You Ready for the Bubble of the 2020s?
"If you look back at the stock market over the past 350 years, you’ll find that in each Century, the Twenties have always enjoyed bull markets in equities; this rings true for the 1720s, the 1820s and the 1920s."
Global Financial Data, July 14th 2016 , Dr. Brian Taylor

German 10-year Benchmark Bond
1807 - 2016
Global Financial Data, June 2016

The Death of Equities
"Could the 21st century be reverting back to the condition of stock markets in the 18th and 19th centuries when the capital gains on stocks were minimal or non-existent? Unfortunately, the answer to this question could very well be yes."
Global Financial Data, June 2nd 2016 , Dr. Brian Taylor

USA 10-year Bond Constant Maturity Yield
1790 - 2010
Global Financial Data

Low-volatility evidence dating back to 1873
As new historical databases are opening up, there are great opportunities for out-of-sample tests of market anomalies. Research shows that the volatility effect also existed in the 19th century.
Robeco, February 15, 2016 , David Blitz, PhD, Pim van Vliet, PhD

The Panic of 1792
The first attempt at a stock corner in the United States came at the birth of the American stock market, occurring even before the New York Stock Exchange had been established.
Global Financial Data, February 28th 2016 , Dr. Brian Taylor


 

Themes

 

Asia

Bonds

Bubbles and Crashes

Business Cycles
Central Banks

China

Commodities
Contrarian

Corporates

Creative Destruction
Credit Crunch

Currencies

Current Account

Deflation
Depression 

Equity
Europe
Financial Crisis
Fiscal Policy

Germany

Gloom and Doom
Gold

Government Debt

Historical Patterns

Household Debt
Inflation

Interest Rates

Japan

Market Timing

Misperceptions

Monetary Policy
Oil
Panics
Permabears
PIIGS
Predictions

Productivity
Real Estate

Seasonality

Sovereign Bonds
Systemic Risk

Switzerland

Tail Risk

Technology

Tipping Point
Trade Balance

U.S.A.
Uncertainty

Valuations

Yield