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   Investment Thoughts - Markets in History

Events in Time Anniversaries: January 2019
25 years ago: January 1994 50 years ago: January 1969 100 years ago: January 1919 200 years ago: January 1819 300 years ago: January 1719


25 years ago: January 1994

S&P 500: 481.61 (vs. 2635.96 in 01/2019)

10-year U.S. Government Bond Yield: 5.7% (vs. 2.75% in 01/2019)

Gold: $377.90 (vs. $1290.70 in 01/2019)

GBP/USD: 1.505 (vs. 1.2984 in 01/2019)

US GDP: 7,013 billion (vs. 20,658 billion in 01/2019)

US Population: 260 million (vs. 328 million in 01/2019)

01/06/1994: Nancy Kerrigan is clubbed on the knee at the U.S. Figure Skating ChampionshipsinDetroit, Michigan.

01/17/1994: Los Angeles is hit by a major earthquake that cripples vital highways.

01/24/1994: The Yugoslav Noviy (Super in 01/2019) Dinar replaced the 1994 Dinar with 1 Noviy Dinar equal to 12,000,000 1994 Dinars.

Market Tops: Hong Kong, Singapore, Thailand, Switzerland, Spain Israel, Philippines, Turkey, Mexico

50 years ago: January 1969

S&P 500: 42.54 (vs. 2635.96 in 01/2019)

10-year U.S. Government Bond Yield: 6.19% (vs. 2.75% in 01/2019)

Gold: $103.01 (vs. $1290.70 in 01/2019)

GBP/USD: 2.39 (vs. 1.2984 in 01/2019)

US GDP: 968 billion (vs. 20,658 billion in 01/2019)

US Population: 205 million (vs. 328 million in 01/2019)

01/02/1969: New York Stock Exchange initiated 4-hour trading sessions (10 A.M.-2 P.M. in 01/2019), cut out Wednesday closings in force since June 12, 1968.

01/12/1969: The New York Jets of the American Football League defeat the Baltimore Colts of the National Football League to win Super Bowl III in what is considered to be one of the greatest upsets in sports history.

01/20/1969: Richard Nixon inaugurated as President of the United States.

Market Tops: Korea, Great Britain

100 years ago: January 1919

S&P 500: 7.788 (vs. 2635.96 in 01/2019)

10-year U.S. Government Bond Yield: 4.63% (vs. 2.75% in 01/2019)

Gold: $20.67 (vs. $1290.70 in 01/2019)

GBP/USD: 4.75 (vs. 1.2984 in 01/2019)

US GDP: 84 billion (vs. 20,658 billion in 01/2019)

US Population: 104 million (vs. 328 million in 01/2019)

01/06/1919: Theodore Roosevelt dies.

01/16/1919: Eighteenth Amendment to the Constitution prohibiting liquor is approved

01/25/1919: The League of Nations is founded.

200 years ago: January 1819

GFD US 100/S&P 500: 1.645 (vs. 2635.96 in 01/2019)

10-year U.S. Government Bond Yield: 4.67% (vs. 2.75% in 01/2019)

Gold: $19.39 (vs. $1290.70 in 01/2019)

GBP/USD: 4.34 (vs. 1.2984 in 01/2019)

US GDP: 726.677 million (vs. 20,658 billion in 01/2019)

US Population: 9.379 million (vs. 328 million in 01/2019)

01/1819: Chile, Buenos Ayres, and Colombia, de facto independent. The Six Acts sanctioned by the British legislature. Spain cedes the Floridas to the United States. New south Shetland discovered. Alabama admitted to the Union. Arkansas erected into a territory. Stamford Raffles arrives in Singapore with William Farquhar to establish a trading post for the British East India Company.

300 years ago: January 1719

UK Government Bond Yield: 4.098% (vs. 1.34% in 01/2019)

UK GDP: 80 million (vs. 535 billion in 01/2019)

UK Population: 6 million (vs. 66 million in 01/2019)

01/23/1719: The Principality of Liechtenstein is created within the Holy Roman Empire.

01/03/1719: Compagnie des Indes shares hit 320 Francs and will rise to 10,000 Francs on November 21, 1719 during the Mississippi Bubble.

Global Financial Data, 22 January 2019-Dr. Brian Taylor

31.01.2019


Themes

Asia

Bonds

Bubbles and Crashes

Business Cycles
Central Banks

China

Commodities
Contrarian

Corporates

Creative Destruction
Credit Crunch

Currencies

Current Account

Deflation
Depression

Equity
Europe
Financial Crisis
Fiscal Policy

Germany

Gloom and Doom
Gold

Government Debt

Historical Patterns

Household Debt
Inflation

Interest Rates

Japan

Market Timing

Misperceptions

Monetary Policy
Oil
Panics
Permabears
PIIGS
Predictions

Productivity
Real Estate

Seasonality

Sovereign Bonds
Systemic Risk

Switzerland

Tail Risk

Technology

Tipping Point
Trade Balance

U.S.A.
Uncertainty

Valuations

Yield