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   Investment Thoughts

 

Investment Thoughts

Non-Linear Views on Financial Markets and the Economy

 

 

 articles 1-10 / 700   page 1 of 70 »  
 
US Banks Haven’t Behaved Like This Since 2009
If there is one thing Ben Bernanke got right, it was this.
Alhambra Investment Partners, December 11, 2018 , Jeffrey P. Snider

Economics Is Easy When You Don’t Have To Try
The real question is why no one says anything. They can continue to make these grossly untrue, often contradictory statements without fear of having to explain themselves. Don’t even think about repercussions. Even in front of politicians ostensibly being there on behalf of the public, pedigree still matters more than results.
Alhambra Investment Partners, December 7, 2018 , Jeffrey P. Snider

Does the Yield Curve Really Forecast Recession?
It's well known that in the United States recessions are often preceded by an inversion of the yield curve. Is there any economic rationale for this?
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Economic Synopses, No. 30, 2018 , David Andolfatto, Andrew Spewak

Labor Force Participation Rates, 25-54 year old
A Strong Economy – But We Can Aim Higher. Remarks by MARY C. DALY President and CEO Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco To the Regional Economic Development for Eastern Idaho (REDI)
Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, A Strong Economy – But We Can Aim Higher, Idaho Falls, Idaho November 12, 2018

The financial and business cycles in the United States
"Put differently, calendar time might not be the best way to compare cycles over time."
BIS Working Papers, No 755, Measuring Financial Cycle Time, 7 November 2018 , Andrew Filardo, Marco Lombardi and Marek Raczko

The history (and future) of inflation ...
It may not feel like it, but we live in inflationary times relative to long-term history.
Deutsche Bank, Thematic Research, September 19, 2018 , Jim Reid, Craig Nicol, Nick Burns, Sahil Mahtani

Do stocks outperform Treasury bills?
"All of the wealth creation can be attributed to the thousand top-performing stocks, while the remaining 96 percent of stocks collectively matched one-month T-bills."
Arizona State University, W. P. Carey School of Business, May 2018 , Prof. Hendrik Bessembinder, Francis J. and Mary B. Labriola

The ECB’s QE End Is Bullish
Closing the chapter on QE is bullish—not bearish—for investors, in our view.
Fisher Investments MarketMinder, 11/08/2018 , Editorial Staff

Can banks individually create money out of nothing? — The theories and the empirical evidence
International Review of Financial Analysis, Volume 36, December 2014 , Richard A. Werner

Notes on The Bitcoin Standard
"Bitcoin, as designed, is deflationary."
Man on the Margin, July 16, 2018 , Michael Kendall


 

Asset Management Switzerland 2015

 For professional investors only

 

 

 

 

Themes

 

Asia

Bonds

Bubbles and Crashes

Business Cycles
Central Banks

China

Commodities
Contrarian

Corporates

Creative Destruction
Credit Crunch

Currencies

Current Account

Deflation
Depression 

Equity
Europe
Financial Crisis
Fiscal Policy

Germany

Gloom and Doom
Gold

Government Debt

Historical Patterns

Household Debt
Inflation

Interest Rates

Japan

Market Timing

Misperceptions

Monetary Policy
Oil
Panics
Permabears
PIIGS
Predictions

Productivity
Real Estate

Seasonality

Sovereign Bonds
Systemic Risk

Switzerland

Tail Risk

Technology

Tipping Point
Trade Balance

U.S.A.
Uncertainty

Valuations

Yield