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   Investment Thoughts - Capital Markets

 

 

Capital Markets

Current Observations on Asset Classes

 

 

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Asset Class Returns in Swiss Francs (2007 - 2016)
Hinder Asset Management, February 2017 , Dr. Alex Hinder

This Is Not the Financial Crisis’s 10-Year Anniversary
10 years ago today, France’s largest bank froze three hedge funds as subprime-panicked investors fled. Headlines globally are calling this the beginning of the Global Financial Crisis, and at first blush, it certainly has all the trappings. Packaged subprime mortgages, a run on a bank, a liquidity crunch and hard-to-value assets.
Fisher Investments MarketMinder, August 9, 2017 , Elisabeth Dellinger

Reality May Soon Overtake Post-Election Equity Rally
The reality of politics collides with the optimism of the campaign
Oppenheimer Funds, February 28, 2017 , Krishna Memani, Chief Investment Officer

Positive Feedback Loop
"Good luck being bearish on humans for any extended period of time."
Jared Dillian , Mauldin Economics, The 10th Man, March 16, 2017

A Possible Leadership Rotation in 2017?
"While investor sentiment has been slow to warm in America in this bull market, Europe (and, specifically, the eurozone) is even further behind."
Fisher Investments MarketMinder, March 1, 2017 , Fisher Investments Editorial Staff

The Priceless Parable of Price Discovery
“Gentlemen prefer bonds.” So quipped Andrew Mellon in 1929 as stocks fell and investors rushed into bonds, pushing their yields down and prices up. Historians recount that the flight to safety had anything but a smooth landing.
Money Strong, December 21, 2016 , Danielle DiMartino Booth

Donald Trump on Wall Street
There are so many different aspects of Donald Trump’s life that we could talk about, but the focus here is on Trump’s two publicly traded companies, Trump Hotels & Casino Resorts Inc. and Trump Entertainment Resorts, Inc.
Global Financial Data, October 12th 2016 , Dr. Brian Taylor

Comparative Stock and Bond Performances since 1981
25 Year Zero Coupon Bond vs S&P 500 Total Return
Gary Shilling , Gary Shilling's INSIGHT newsletter, August 2016

Dividends Tell a Better Story than Corporate Earnings
"Given the confusion that can be created from the two different ways to calculate earnings, we think an old saying among investors perfectly applies: “profit is an opinion, cash is a fact.” "
Oppenheimer Funds, July 5th, 2016 , Laton Spahr, Robert McClure, Eric Hewitt

The Demise of the Zero Yield Bound
"The asymmetry of bond markets was often used to differentiate the performance potential of fixed income and equity investments. Bonds, we were told, had significant downside potential, while their upside was limited by a purported zero yield bound."
GAM, June 10th 2016 , Tim Haywood


 

Themes

 

Asia

Bonds

Bubbles and Crashes

Business Cycles
Central Banks

China

Commodities
Contrarian

Corporates

Creative Destruction
Credit Crunch

Currencies

Current Account

Deflation
Depression 

Equity
Europe
Financial Crisis
Fiscal Policy

Germany

Gloom and Doom
Gold

Government Debt

Historical Patterns

Household Debt
Inflation

Interest Rates

Japan

Market Timing

Misperceptions

Monetary Policy
Oil
Panics
Permabears
PIIGS
Predictions

Productivity
Real Estate

Seasonality

Sovereign Bonds
Systemic Risk

Switzerland

Tail Risk

Technology

Tipping Point
Trade Balance

U.S.A.
Uncertainty

Valuations

Yield